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Ładowarek w mieście jest ciągle za mało.","confidence":0.9,"model":"google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite","personaId":"demo:65+|female|urban|secondary_vocational","personaLabel":"65 lat lub więcej, kobieta, miasto, wykształcenie średnie zawodowe lub policealne"},{"subquestionId":"subsidy_continuation","position":"80%","rationale":"Podtrzymanie dopłat jest prawdopodobne, bo wspiera rozwój rynku EV i spełnia cele ekologiczne, ale nie jest gwarantowane.","confidence":0.8,"model":"openai/gpt-4.1-nano","personaId":"demo:65+|female|urban|secondary_vocational","personaLabel":"65 lat lub więcej, kobieta, miasto, wykształcenie średnie zawodowe lub policealne"},{"subquestionId":"subsidy_continuation","position":"80%","rationale":"Rządowe programy dopłat są kluczowe dla rozwoju rynku EV i prawdopodobnie będą kontynuowane, aby wspierać ekologiczną transformację.","confidence":0.8,"model":"openai/gpt-4.1-nano","personaId":"demo:45-54|male|urban|higher","personaLabel":"45–54 lata, mężczyzna, miasto, wykształcenie wyższe"},{"subquestionId":"main_adoption_barrier","position":"Sceptycyzm społeczny i obawy o zasięg oraz degradację baterii","option":"Sceptycyzm społeczny i obawy o zasięg oraz degradację baterii","rationale":"Uważam, że główną barierą jest sceptycyzm i obawy o zasięg, który razem z cenami i infrastrukturą blokują pełne przyjęcie EV.","confidence":0.9,"model":"openai/gpt-4.1-nano","personaId":"demo:25-34|female|rural|higher","personaLabel":"25–34 lata, kobieta, wieś, wykształcenie wyższe"}],"audience":{"id":"pl-national","kind":"population","label":"Polska — ogół dorosłych","teryt":"00","frameVersion":"pl-2026-09","frameFetchedAt":"2026-09-14T08:13:16.741Z","attribution":"Dane: Główny Urząd Statystyczny, Bank Danych Lokalnych (bdl.stat.gov.pl), licencja CC BY 4.0","n":50,"nEff":32.429443509444646,"deff":1.5418087573854964,"marginOfError":0.1720871124410799,"regions":[{"teryt":"02","name":"dolnośląskie","n":4,"nEff":2.9953081697305413},{"teryt":"04","name":"kujawsko-pomorskie","n":3,"nEff":2.7558953595965328},{"teryt":"06","name":"lubelskie","n":3,"nEff":2.7438797995413995},{"teryt":"08","name":"lubuskie","n":1,"nEff":1},{"teryt":"10","name":"łódzkie","n":3,"nEff":1.8489808040203985},{"teryt":"12","name":"małopolskie","n":4,"nEff":3.3560595831219615},{"teryt":"14","name":"mazowieckie","n":7,"nEff":6.161919916683922},{"teryt":"16","name":"opolskie","n":1,"nEff":1},{"teryt":"18","name":"podkarpackie","n":3,"nEff":2.399340337050896},{"teryt":"20","name":"podlaskie","n":1,"nEff":1},{"teryt":"22","name":"pomorskie","n":3,"nEff":2.862810116828046},{"teryt":"24","name":"śląskie","n":6,"nEff":5.379056708307125},{"teryt":"26","name":"świętokrzyskie","n":2,"nEff":1.2768933259196948},{"teryt":"28","name":"warmińsko-mazurskie","n":2,"nEff":1.931591137476528},{"teryt":"30","name":"wielkopolskie","n":5,"nEff":4.191883676614033},{"teryt":"32","name":"zachodniopomorskie","n":2,"nEff":1.747752228583698}]},"calibration":{"fixture":"pl-calibration-2023-sejm","frame":"pl-2026-09","measuredAt":"2026-09-14","n":2000,"seed":"turnout-final","language":"pl","maePp":9.81,"baselineMaePp":14.41,"betterOnItems":23,"worseOnItems":15,"tiedItems":0,"comparableItems":38,"directionAgreement":1,"directionContrasts":8,"directionBaseline":0,"declaredTurnout":0.855,"byFamily":{"głos":{"items":17,"maePp":9.19,"baselineMaePp":14.58,"betterOnItems":16},"frekwencja":{"items":17,"maePp":12.43,"baselineMaePp":11.79,"betterOnItems":3},"samoopis":{"items":4,"maePp":1.23,"baselineMaePp":24.87,"betterOnItems":4}},"claim":"panel-simulation","sources":["PKW, oficjalne wyniki wyborów do Sejmu 2023 (głosy oddane w Polsce)","Operat GUS/BDL, licencja CC BY 4.0"],"caveat":"To jest symulacja panelu, a nie szacunek opinii publicznej. Zmierzony średni błąd bezwzględny wobec opublikowanych wyników wyborów do Sejmu 2023 wynosi 9,8 punktu procentowego (9,2 pp dla deklaracji poparcia, 12,4 pp dla frekwencji). Panel modelowo szacuje frekwencję na 85,5% wobec 74,0% rzeczywistej."},"evidence":null,"webSentiment":null,"panel":{"requestedAgents":50,"respondedAgents":50,"failedAgents":0,"models":["google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite","openai/gpt-4.1-nano"],"personas":["demo:25-34|male|rural|secondary_vocational","demo:35-44|female|rural|higher","demo:55-64|male|urban|vocational","demo:65+|female|urban|secondary_vocational","demo:18-24|female|urban|higher","demo:55-64|female|rural|higher","demo:25-34|female|rural|higher","demo:45-54|female|urban|secondary_general","demo:35-44|male|urban|higher","demo:45-54|female|rural|secondary_vocational","demo:65+|female|urban|secondary_general","demo:25-34|female|rural|secondary_general","demo:45-54|male|urban|vocational","demo:55-64|female|rural|secondary_vocational","demo:65+|female|rural|lower","demo:18-24|male|urban|secondary_vocational","demo:25-34|male|rural|vocational","demo:35-44|male|urban|vocational","demo:45-54|male|urban|higher","demo:55-64|female|urban|vocational","demo:65+|female|urban|higher","demo:45-54|female|rural|vocational","demo:45-54|male|rural|secondary_vocational","demo:65+|male|rural|secondary_vocational","demo:45-54|male|rural|vocational","demo:25-34|female|rural|vocational","demo:45-54|female|urban|secondary_vocational","demo:18-24|male|rural|secondary_vocational","demo:25-34|female|rural|secondary_vocational","demo:35-44|female|urban|vocational","demo:65+|female|urban|lower","demo:35-44|male|rural|secondary_vocational","demo:65+|male|urban|vocational","demo:18-24|female|rural|vocational","demo:45-54|male|rural|higher","demo:55-64|male|rural|vocational","demo:35-44|male|rural|higher"],"seed":"654b24da-622","tier":"cheap","costUsd":0.05335135,"durationMs":0,"llmCalls":0,"timings":{"decomposeMs":0,"castMs":0,"aggregateMs":0,"synthesizeMs":0}},"warnings":[],"bearings":[{"subquestionId":"bev_market_share_2030","direction":"supports","text":"Panel przewiduje udział aut elektrycznych w sprzedaży na poziomie 25%, co wyklucza osiągnięcie większościowego udziału w rynku."},{"subquestionId":"price_parity_timing","direction":"supports","text":"Według 59% rozmówców zrównanie cen aut nastąpi po 2030 roku lub nigdy, co spowolni przechodzenie na napęd elektryczny."},{"subquestionId":"charging_infrastructure_sufficie","direction":"supports","text":"Panel ocenia wystarczalność infrastruktury ładowania na 2 na 5, wskazując na istotne braki uniemożliwiające masową adopcję pojazdów."},{"subquestionId":"subsidy_continuation","direction":"against","text":"Panel daje 60% szans na utrzymanie dopłat państwowych, co może częściowo przyspieszyć popyt na elektryki."},{"subquestionId":"main_adoption_barrier","direction":"context","text":"Dla 87% rozmówców główną barierą w rozwoju rynku pozostają wysokie ceny zakupu samochodów względem dochodów Polaków."}],"composition":{"basis":"gus","claim":"panel-simulation","label":"dorośli mieszkańcy Polski","labelAcc":"dorosłych mieszkańców Polski","region":{"teryt":"00","name":"Polska"},"spec":null,"axes":[{"axis":"sex","label":"Płeć","levels":[{"level":"female","label":"kobiety","share":0.5236429409457173,"n":29},{"level":"male","label":"mężczyźni","share":0.4763570590542821,"n":21}]},{"axis":"age","label":"Wiek","levels":[{"level":"18-34","label":"18–34 lata","share":0.22259476890379062,"n":11},{"level":"35-54","label":"35–54 lata","share":0.37893071515722837,"n":21},{"level":"55+","label":"55 lat i więcej","share":0.3984745159389804,"n":18}]},{"axis":"settlement","label":"Miejsce zamieszkania","levels":[{"level":"urban","label":"miasto","share":0.6021056040842239,"n":26},{"level":"rural","label":"wieś","share":0.3978943959157755,"n":24}]},{"axis":"education","label":"Wykształcenie","levels":[{"level":"higher","label":"wyższe","share":0.26356747054269863,"n":11},{"level":"secondary","label":"średnie","share":0.3749530549981219,"n":21},{"level":"vocational","label":"zasadnicze zawodowe","share":0.23536870941474822,"n":16},{"level":"lower","label":"podstawowe","share":0.12611076504443053,"n":2}]}],"groups":[],"n":50,"nEff":32.429443509444646,"marginOfError":0.1720871124410799,"thresholds":{"minGroupNEff":15,"detectablePoints":45}}}